Right or wrong, it's on the record.
Independent predictive models for baseball, basketball, and football — built by an actuary. BBMI keeps a public prediction record: predictions locked before the game, preserved afterward, and measured without hiding the misses — across every sport, back to 2024.
Locked before the game · Graded in public · Nothing removed from the record
New — the WNBA model is now public: a live paper experiment, locked before tip and graded against the closing line. See the WNBA experiment →
From the research desk
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Division Report Cards
BBMI grades all six MLB divisions — season, roster, front office, and manager — one week before the deadline redraws the rosters underneath them.
MLB · SeriesMLB Power Rankings
All 30 teams ranked by schedule-adjusted BBMI Score, week over week, with the movement worth explaining.
Research · Series2026 Season Previews
By-the-numbers previews: projected records, the games that decide the season, and exactly what the model can and can't see.
NCAA Baseball · SeriesCollege World Series 2026
Omaha, simulated — the eight-team bracket, the starter-by-starter final, and the graded recap.
MLB · SeriesThe Wrigley Wind Fix
How the wind off Lake Michigan moves run scoring at Wrigley — and how the model learned to price it.
MLB · Series2026 Award Races
MVP and Cy Young at the break — graded on value and earned runs saved, not just the raw numbers.
Today’s Predictions
Full slate · 0 games today →The model’s best work, in your inbox.
Injury what-ifs, trade scenarios, park effects, playoff odds that move, and the prediction scorecard — we’ll send the research desk’s best pieces and model updates. Free. Occasional, no spam.